In what is being hailed as India’s largest-ever defence acquisition, the Ministry of Defence (MoD) is set to deliberate on a massive ₹3.25 lakh crore (approx. $39 billion) deal for 114 Rafale fighter jets. As geopolitical tensions simmer across the Indo-Pacific, this high-stakes deal with France is not just about expanding the Indian Air Force (IAF) fleet—it’s about strategic dominance.
Why the 114 Rafale Deal is Trending
The IAF is currently grappling with a critical shortage of combat squadrons, which have dropped to just 29, far below the sanctioned strength of 42. With the recent retirement of the MiG-21s and delays in the indigenous Tejas Mk1A deliveries, the "Multi-Role Fighter Aircraft" (MRFA) program has become a matter of national security. Key Highlights of the Proposal:
Total Cost: Estimated at ₹3.25 lakh crore ($39 billion).
Quantity: 114 aircraft (to equip approximately 6-7 squadrons).
Manufacturing: 12–18 jets in "fly-away" condition; the rest built in India.
Indigenous Content: Aiming for 30–60% "Make in India" components.
Total Fleet: If approved, India's total Rafale count would reach 176 (including the IAF’s 36 and the Navy’s 26 Rafale-M jets).
Strategic Significance: Operation Sindoor & The China Factor
A major catalyst for this deal was the performance of the Rafale during Operation Sindoor (2025). Reports suggest the Rafale's SPECTRA electronic warfare suite successfully countered China's PL-15 long-range missiles, proving its superiority over regional adversaries.
While the U.S. (F-35) and Russia (Su-57) have reportedly offered their 5th-generation stealth fighters, the IAF is leaning toward the Rafale due to its existing infrastructure in India and proven reliability in local conditions.
The "Make in India" Push and MRO Hub
Unlike the previous 36-jet deal, this contract emphasizes domestic production.
Hyderabad Hub: Dassault Aviation and partners like Tata are planning a massive ecosystem in Hyderabad, including a Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) facility for M-88 engines.
Weapon Integration: India is pushing for the integration of indigenous weapons (like the Astra missile) onto the French platform.
The Source Code Debate: One sticking point remains—France has traditionally been reluctant to share the proprietary source codes, which India wants for full autonomy in future upgrades.
What Happens Next?
The proposal, known as the Statement of Case (SoC), will be discussed at a high-level MoD meeting this week. If it passes, it moves to the Defence Acquisition Council (DAC) and finally the Cabinet Committee on Security (CCS) for the ultimate green light.
French President Emmanuel Macron is expected to visit India in February 2026, and many experts believe a major announcement regarding the MRFA program could be the highlight of his visit.
Comparison: Rafale vs Competitors